Market Analysis
4 min read
Walk-Forward Testing: Can a Trading Strategy Survive Unseen Data?
Separate strategy development from evaluation with sequential out-of-sample windows and test whether a rule survives changing markets.
Market Analysis Archive
Stocks, gold, oil and Bitcoin perspectives. Read each article’s date: historical analysis is not a current trading signal.
StocksMarket Analysis
4 min read
Survivorship Bias: The Backtest Error That Hides Failed Stocks
Learn why testing only today’s surviving companies inflates historical results and how to build a point-in-time investment universe.
StocksMarket Analysis
4 min read
Adjusted Stock Prices: Dividends, Splits and False Chart Signals
Learn how dividends and stock splits alter historical charts, when to use adjusted data and how inconsistent series can corrupt a backtest.
Market Analysis
5 min read
MAE and MFE: What Happened Inside Your Trade?
Measure adverse and favourable excursion to study the path inside a trade and form better hypotheses about entries, stops and exits.
Market Analysis
4 min read
R-Multiples: Measure Trading Results on One Risk Scale
Convert profits and losses into R-multiples to compare trades across markets, position sizes and account values on one risk scale.
Market Analysis
4 min read
Time Stops in Trading: When a Setup Takes Too Long
Define a time-based exit before entry and control opportunity cost when a trading setup fails to develop within its expected window.